Exit Polls

I see lots of people freaking out about exit polls for no good reason, so let’s get something out there. There’s nothing wrong with exit polls, and there was nothing wrong with the 2004 exit polls. But when you’re looking at them at 2:00 on the East Coast, you’ve just got to remember that a lot of people haven’t voted yet, and results don’t come in proportionally. I mean, you don’t turn off a football game that’s 10-7 at the end of the first quarter “knowing” the game is going to end 40-28, so why do you assume vote casting works that way?