It’s Always Sunny in Neoconville

by Brien Jackson

In a very good post altogether, Yglesias makes a critical point you don’t see made nearly enough:

In terms of Iraq, think about it this way. If things continue to be fairly calm for a few years, that will “prove” that the surge “worked” so we should be glad that the doves didn’t manage to ruin things back in 2007 and 2008. And if things don’t remain calm, that will also “prove” that the surge “worked” until the doves came along to ruin things in 2009 and 2010.

This really isn’t a minor point in any regard, and it’s something every non-neocon foreign policy writer/blogger should point out at every possible turn. Sadly, it might already be too late. Through much of the spring and summer of last year, the Presidential election was focused on whether or not Barack Obama would “admit the surge worked.” There was never any question amongt the mainstream press that it had, in fact, worked, only whether or not Democrats would admit that John McCain had been right all along. Of course, judging the success of the surge before we start to draw down troops (you know, to see if it actually made things better) was always absurd, but that was never really the point for the neocons who, I suspect, always knew Obama was probably going to win the election. By establishing it as conventional wisdom that the surge was successful, they’re set up the classic “heads I win, tails you lose” scenario Yglesias outlines above, and more or less insured that they’ll stick around through the GOP minority period and, eventually, dominate American foreign policy against someday.

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