Tapper Thinks Obama Should Do Well in WV

This strikes me as a whole lot of fluffing to keep the race interesting, but there’s some relevance to it, namely that Democrats do well in West Virginia. A non-incumbent Republican has only won the state 3 times since 1920 (Harding, Hoover, and George W. Bush), and Hillary’s “no Democrat has won the White House without West Virginia…” line is a bit disingenuous; it’s true, but it doesn’t tell the whole story. 4 Democrats, Adlai Stevenson in 1952, Hubert Humphrey in 1968, Jimmy Carter in 1980, and yes, Dukakis in 1988 have carried West Virginia is losing efforts.

But there is something potentially worrisome about the idea of a presumptive nominee losing a state after the fact…although if you think back, John McCain lost Kansas and Louisiana to Mike Huckabee after he effectively ended the GOP contest on Super Tuesday. Is anyone wondering if Obama is going to be able to poach evangelical Republicans from McCain because of that?

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